The 20'th INFORMS Applied Probability Society Conference taking place at the Brisbane Convention Centre, Brisbane Australia, July 3-5, 2019. Commencing with the satellite workshop on July 2, organized by CARM dealing with concrete applications (Applied^2 Probability) taking place at The University of Queensland, Brisbane. Registration: $100 and $45 students

Work presented at the workshop can be considered for publication in the journal Stochastic Systems upon author request.   

Workshop Theme:  “Uncertainty Quantification Applications”.

Raison D’être:  One of the unsolved mysteries of mathematical sciences is that branches which have their roots in applications and natural phenomena, over time, become progressively more theoretical.  For instance, typically, there are very few numbers in papers nowadays published in Number Theory journals.  It is not surprising that Applied Probability is also susceptible to this theorization trend which, arguably, merely points to the maturity and success of the subject.     

However, in recognition of the above, there is an emerging need for a forum where researchers encountering applied probability problems in the context of specific applications can discuss their experiences and challenges.   A fascinating aspect of modelling random phenomena in applications is that different groups of end users may have very different attitudes towards uncertainty and risk.   For instance, medical practitioners, fishermen and fire fighters all deal with stochasticity on regular basis but have very different needs and expectations of the quantitative tools designed to assist them.    

Practical Applied Probability topics include:

  • Stochastic Operations Research
  • Networks, Queues and Control
  • Health and Epidemics Models 1 and 2
  • Mathematical Biology
  • Sustainable Fisheries
  • Energy Modelling and Forecasting
  • Decision Making Under Uncertainty
  • Ecology and Conservation
  • Simulation and Computational Tools


Registration between 8am -8:30am 

Welcome to Country and Workshop Opening 8:30am - 8:45am by Professor Jenny Seddon, Associate Dean Research & Deputy Executive Dean, Faculty of Science, The University of Queensland.

Parallel Session One Room 273

Parallel Session Two Room 275

Chairs: Mark Fackrell and Joshua Ross

Health and Epidemics Models 1

Mark Fackrell, University of Melbourne

Laura Boyle, Queen’s University Belfast

Shaowen Qin, Flinders University          

Chair: Jerzy Filar

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Shane Henderson, Cornell University

Matt Holden, The University of Queensland

Kate Helmstedt, Queensland University of Technology

Kerrie Mengersen, Queensland University of Technology

Tea Break

Chairs: Mark Fackrell and Joshua Ross

Health and Epidemics Models 2

Robert Cope, The University of Adelaide

Peter Taylor, University of Melbourne

Belinda Spratt, Queensland University of Technology

Chairs: Konstantin Avrachenkov and Dmitry Krass

Stochastic Operations Research

Dmitry Krass, University of Toronto

Konstantin Avrachenkov, INRIA Sophia Antipolis

Floske Spieksma, Universiteit Leiden

Michael McCourt, SigOpt, USA


Chair: John Boland

Energy Modelling and Forecasting

Phillip Wild, The University of Queensland

Lui Cirocco, University of South Australia

Adrian Grantham, Australian Energy Market Operator

John Boland, University of South Australia

Chairs: Ross McVinish and Brenda Vo

Mathematical Biology

Sophie Hautphenne, Melbourne University

Andrew Black, The University of Adelaide

Dietmar Oelz, The University of Queensland

Brenda Vo, University of New England


Tea Break

Chairs: Wen-Hsi Yang and George Leigh

Sustainable Fisheries

Wen-Hsi Yang, The University of Queensland

Trevor Hutton, CSIRO, Queensland

George Leigh, Agri-Science, Queensland

Jerzy Filar, The University of Queensland

Chair: Ivo Adan

Networks, Queues and Control

Rik Timmerman, Eindhoven University of Technology

Stella Kapodistria, Eindhoven University of Technology

Daniel Silva, Auburn University

Ivo Adan, Eindhoven University of Technology

Chair: Matthew Holden

Ecology and Conservation

Matthew Adams, The University of Queensland

Katie Lee, The University of Queensland

Ali Chauvenet, The University of Queensland

Christopher Baker, The University of Queensland

Chair: Yoni Nazarathy

Simulation and Computation Tools

Anna Foeglein, Heisenberg Analytics, Queensland

Matthew Roughan, The University of Adelaide

Yoni Nazarathy, The University of Queensland



Organizing Committee

For further details visit INFORMS-APS 2019.

About CARM events

At CARM, we regularly conduct events, conference and seminars. Contact us for more information


Global Change Institute (20), The University of Queensland
273 and 275